At the start of the season we all had our views on how Wolves would get on this season. There was discussion about our league position at the end of the season with a variety of opinions on that point. I, myself predicted that we would finish around 14th. I have a different opinion now.
So just wondering, at the start of the season where did everyone predict we would finish in May and have those predictions changed?
We have 15 games remaining, 4 of which are against top 6 sides. Assuming that we lose those 4, draw with Watford and Everton, the remaining games are against West Ham, Newcastle, Bournemouth, Huddersfield, Cardiff, Burnley, Southampton, Brighton and Fulham.
On yesterday's showing I have no doubt that we could win all 9 of those, if that happened we would finish the season on 61 points, almost certainly enough to guarantee a 7th place finish.
It's probably ambitious to expect 29 points so I think we will end up around 8th or 9th. What does everyone else think?
Where will it end?
posted on 20/1/19
I think you will be very close Wulfrun with that
Shame DJ can't read. I said the feckwits that said SAFETY was the target. I absolutely guarantee you safety will not have been Fosuns, Nunos or the players target this season.
posted on 20/1/19
Doesn't really matter. We're on a journey. 2018-2019 is merely a stop-off point. Viva la revolution.
posted on 20/1/19
Just a word about your article gem. You suggest we will lose to the top 6 teams, draw against the mid table teams and beat the lesser teams. All very logical but in reality this season has been nothing like that so far
posted on 20/1/19
Just found this:-
http://www.ja606.co.uk/articles/viewArticle/394023
Personally, I would have been happy with a top half finish.
posted on 20/1/19
comment by Spangles (U17289)
posted 34 minutes ago
Just a word about your article gem. You suggest we will lose to the top 6 teams, draw against the mid table teams and beat the lesser teams. All very logical but in reality this season has been nothing like that so far
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I know DJ but I can't predict that we will beat any more top 6 teams or even take points from them. Although we have done so well against them so far, you have to think that their managers will not make the same mistakes twice by underestimating us.
I also think we may well beat Watford and Everton and lose to Cardiff and Huddersfield again but it's just an estimate of how things should probably pan out if we play our best game every match.
posted on 20/1/19
As I say what you have done is completely logical gem, just that it’s the fact that things don’t go according to plan that makes bookmaking a profitable business
posted on 21/1/19
I'm surprised I didn't enter nut's pre-season prediction thing, but looking at the dates I was in Tenerife at the time and probably a bit, ermm, out of the loop.
For the record, I think I was anticipating something around 11th, +/- a place.
As it stands we're competing in a mini league now with the winners taking 7th. It is very tight in that middle pack now with 3 points covering 6 teams. If we can take points of them all, and having taken care of Leicester, we play still have to play the other 5, I can see us maintaining 8th place.
I hope in a way that we will be in a position where a good cup run will effect our league form, if that's the case maybe 10th would be more realistic.
posted on 21/1/19
Agree oldgold we are in a mid table mini league that will see us finish somewhere between 7th and 13th. And for a first season after promotion, just not having to worry about relegation is an achievement as is beating our best ever Premier League finish of 15th.
The next four games are key in that mini league with games against West Ham and Newcastle at home and Everton and Bournemouth away. Win a couple of those and we will still be on track for a top half finish
posted on 21/1/19
The final league position does have a bearing on the distribution of money from the FA.
All teams get an equal share of some of the pot. That equal share will be about £84m this season.
Then an amount is allocated based on the number of live games on tv. That is worth about £1.2m a match.
The final amount is allocated based on final position in the league. If we finish 7th we would get about £27m. If we finished 12th it would be about £17m
posted on 21/1/19
Would take tenth and a cup run to say the SF