A speculative one for this evening. Dutch league can be fairly free scoring if you catch it right.....

Are Man Utd big enough at 4/7? Not a full strength team by either club.

Wouldn’t have touched it myself, but they’re 1-0 already!

Club Brugge KV St. Liege 3 : 2
04.02.18 JL Club Brugge KV Charleroi 3 : 3
25.01.18 JL Club Brugge KV Oostende 3 : 2
16.01.18 CUP Club Brugge KV Charleroi 5 : 1
26.12.17 JL Club Brugge KV Mouscron 4 : 2
17.12.17 JL Club Brugge KV Anderlecht 5 : 0
10.12.17 JL Club Brugge KV Lokeren 3 : 1
26.11.17 JL Club Brugge KV Waregem 3 : 2
19.11.17 JL Club Brugge KV Waasland-Beveren 3 : 0
29.10.17 JL Club Brugge KV St. Truiden 4 : 1
22.10.17 JL Club Brugge KV Antwerp 1 : 0
01.10.17 JL Club Brugge KV Gent 2 : 1

This is Bruge recent home record. I’ve backed them at 15/8 for win and BTTS.

comment by Terminator1 (U1863)
posted 10 minutes ago
This is Bruge recent home record. I’ve backed them at 15/8 for win and BTTS.
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Looks decent as Genk are no mugs so would fancy them for a goal.

comment by Terminator1 (U1863)
posted 3 hours, 31 minutes ago
This is Bruge recent home record. I’ve backed them at 15/8 for win and BTTS.
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At 1-1 I put a cover bet on Genk, as they were looking threatening. Bruge promptly scored, so all good.

Final score? 2-2

Wigan v Man City - 1st Home Goalscorer X
No Wigan Goalscorer @ 10/11
Estimated Returns

The next best price in the market is MarathonBet @8/11 for under 0;5 Wigan goals.

Scrap that, oddschecker is not up to date.

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/wigan-v-man-city/total-home-goals

Treble @ 9.45/1
Potential returns: £47.25
£0.00
 £5.00
£5.00
Settled

Won
Cartagena FC @ 5/6
Córdoba B v Cartagena FC (FT 0v1)
Full Time Result

Won
Yes @ 8/11
Eintracht Frankfurt v RB Leipzig (FT 2v1)
Both Teams To Score

Won
Sporting CP and Yes @ 23/10
Tondela v Sporting CP (FT 1v2)
Full Time Result and Both Teams To Score

Nice little treble with my free Sky £5 bet. A 98th minute winner for Sporting too, you don’t get many of them!!

Strange odds on this game. 10/1 for both score no draw. The 1/14 favs lost the 1st leg 1-0 so you never know.

http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb/betting/e/12468168/Al-Hilal+%28SDN%29+v+LISCR.html

Short price double for this afternoon, expecting both 1st leg deficits to be overturned.

1 Omonia Nicosia
Doxa Katokopias v Omonia Nicosia
(Full Time Result)
21/02/2018 None
4/9
To Run
2 AE Paphos
AE Paphos v Enosis Paralimni
(Full Time Result)
21/02/2018 None
9/20
To Run

Comment deleted by Site Moderator

comment by Idontlikemondays (U6377)
posted 5 hours, 41 minutes ago
Estonian Super Cup today

Flora are 7/4 to beat the newly merged Infonet and Levadia (now FCI Levadia)

The game is being played at Flora`s home ground so the general 7/4 on the Champions winning looks a tad overpriced

Can get 2/1 Paddy Power, or better still 21/10 Bet Victor
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2-0 Flora

Backed Fortuna Dusseldorf away at Regensburg @1/50 whilst 3-0 up, they are now 4-3 down.

Also backed Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden, Bielefeld draw no bet whilst 1-0 up @1/10 they are now 2-1 down.

£110 down the drain. Silly bets but needs must to keep my "actual" bets away from the trader.

Bielefeld levelled it up with 15 to go, so maybe only £50 wasted

3-2 down

Comment deleted by Site Moderator

Comment deleted by Site Moderator

Mansfield home to Coventry @ 5/4 looks a good bet. Mansfield scoring plenty, and Cov lost four out of five away games.

Ran my algorithms today. Luton was thrown up between teams with much shorter odds(see below, its how I identify value in the bet) , so might be worth a shout.

Match Barcelona 294679.359722936 WWDDW vs Girona -30106.7208925841 WWDDW Prediction = H Odds = 1.149999976158142 DrawThreshold = 23289.427834929484 Delta = 324786.080615521
Match Luton 227403.687931514 WLWDW vs Cheltenham -78720.132778161 WLWDW Prediction = H Odds = 1.75 DrawThreshold = 23289.427834929484 Delta = 306123.820709675
Match Ajax 252016.223976194 DWWWW vs Den Haag -43674.3984824971 DWWWW Prediction = H Odds = 1.1399999856948853 DrawThreshold = 23289.427834929484 Delta = 295690.622458691

If the odds for Luton are too short for you. Colchester to beat Barnet is around Evs. As you can see also sandwiched between predictions with much short odds.

Lincoln 133864.290470452 WDDWL vs Crewe 3957.8902121819 LDLWL Prediction = H Odds = 1.649999976158142 DrawThreshold = 15682.150374202138 Delta = 129906.40025827
Colchester 120411.054222002 DWDWL vs Barnet -7927.0143040362 LWLDL Prediction = H Odds = 2.0999999046325684 DrawThreshold = 15682.150374202138 Delta = 128338.068526038
Lyon 168961.150766258 WLLLD vs St Etienne 43819.4235712918 LWWDW Prediction = H Odds = 1.4500000476837158 DrawThreshold = 15682.150374202138 Delta = 125141.727194966

Done a Colcester/Luton double at 2.10/1. Both seem pretty solid.

Also:

Fulham v Wolves BTTS
Bristol v Scunny BTTS
Mansfield to win

4.9/1.

comment by Terminator1 (U1863)
posted 6 hours ago
Mansfield home to Coventry @ 5/4 looks a good bet. Mansfield scoring plenty, and Cov lost four out of five away games.
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Bet them HT/FT

I’m really liking the look of Mansfield win & BTTS @ 3/1. I’ve put a £50 single on.