I crunched the data on over 500,000 horse races. Don't bet anything over 4/1. Above that the implied probability and actual probability diverge quite dramatically. For example a 12/1 horse typically only wins 1 in 15 times. Where a horse at evens is much fairer value.
Newbury races Saturday 19th August
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posted on 18/8/17
I crunched the data on over 500,000 horse races. Don't bet anything over 4/1. Above that the implied probability and actual probability diverge quite dramatically. For example a 12/1 horse typically only wins 1 in 15 times. Where a horse at evens is much fairer value.
posted on 23/8/17
follow one or two of the top jockeys there, keep eye on Godolphin runners, good luck.
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