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Why are Chelsea 5/1 for the title?

These seem to be crazy odds for a team that, if they win their remaining 4 games, are virtually guaranteed the title. I'm not saying it will be easy (and I'm not suggesting that City are incapable of winning their remaining fixtures to snatch the title from Chelsea), but odds of 5/1 seems a bit large.

Liverpool, who have no experience of gunning for a title at the business end of the season, and who surely cannot rely on penalty decisions to get them out of bother, are nailed on favourites, but I think that looks a little generous. (I'm not suggesting they shouldn't be awarded pens, before I get accused of wumming, but simply that some decisions go for you, some against, and they may not be on the favourable end of decisions for all four games).

Liverpool fans seem nervous, possibly because it's been so long. Just as United were nervous in 1992, after 25 barren years, and they blew up at the finish line to allow Leeds (Leeds! Deary me) to pip them.

What do people think? Have we missed a trick with Mourinho's Chelsea? Or am I being too generous to his Blues?

posted on 15/4/14

Superb, Liverpool only have 2 extra days over us to prepare, if fatigue hits us it will be the 2nd leg not Anfield.

Red, hopefully Torres doesn't see a minute in these games, Eto'o and Ba can bring home the bacon.

posted on 15/4/14

I think even the staunchest Liverpool fan would agree that you struggled against West Ham and Sunderland. Very jittery. The nerves get even more frayed, and you require exponentially more bottle as the games go by (you'll see for yourself).

A soft goal against Norwich, a dodgy sending off against Newcastle. Anything could tip the balance.

posted on 15/4/14

Red, hopefully Torres doesn't see a minute in these games, Eto'o and Ba can bring home the bacon.

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Ba being a Muslim won't be bringing any bacon home..

posted on 15/4/14

We have been average away from home, but Liverpool have only won more game away

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We were average away in 2013.

2014 is a different story.

posted on 15/4/14


Don't forget that IF City are so certain to drop points, Liverpool would only need a draw against Chelsea if the rest of the matches are won.

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Exactly.

If it's level late on in that game then Liverpool are not going to be taking too many risks to win it because City will still have 4 games to play when that finishes.

Chelsea would have to take all the risks, leaving them open to the counter.

posted on 15/4/14

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posted on 15/4/14

If Arsenal lose tonight, we're guaranteed top 4.
It's mathematically 100% certain

posted on 15/4/14

comment by Respected Kings Road (U1762)
posted 2 hours, 28 minutes ago
Superb, Liverpool only have 2 extra days over us to prepare, if fatigue hits us it will be the 2nd leg not Anfield.

Red, hopefully Torres doesn't see a minute in these games, Eto'o and Ba can bring home the bacon.
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Hahaha, this is what we think about Ba bringing home the bacon.....

http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=X6tKZ-cg4RI

posted on 16/4/14

We have been average away from home, but Liverpool have only won more game away.

Anyway, as i said, it is the bookies needing people to back Chelsea in order to reduce their risk exposure.
.............................

Which suggests that Chelsea have been poor away from home and Liverpool have been good at home, it doesn't take a genius to see where the odds come from.

They are normally pretty good at this sort of thing.

posted on 16/4/14

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