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The ‘Run In’

Now that yesterday’s much hyped thriller has come and passed, we are now officially in the final quarter of the season, with 3 points separating 3 teams, for the first time in PL history.

All 3 teams have played each other home and away and it’s now a shootout for the title. One negative result for any team could essentially be the end of their challenge.

Liverpools fixtures
Sheff Utd (H)
United (A)
Palace (H)
Fulham (A)
Everton (A)
West Ham (A)
Spurs (H)
Villa (A)
Wolves (H)

Not the worst set on paper but 3 away games in a row (5 in a row if you include the Europa) looks the time where Liverpool could be most likely to drop points. I can see them winning at OT. If they don’t, it really blows the race wide open.

Arsenal’s fixture
Luton (H)
Brighton (A)
Villa (H)
Wolves (A)
Chelsea (H)
Spurs (A)
Bournemouth (H)
United (A)
Everton (H)

Probably the toughest on paper. Every game from Brighton to Spurs is a potential banana skin on paper when CL distractions are factored in. Arsenal did win 7 of the 8 corresponding fixtures last season, the one game we didn’t win was at OT. You would expect United to roll over for us on the 2nd last game of the season if it stops Liverpool and City winning the league.

City’s fixtures
Villa (H)
Palace (A)
Luton (H)
Brighton (A)
Forest (A)
Wolves (H)
Fulham (A)
Spurs (A)
West Ham (H)

On paper probably the easiest fixtures. City do have the added distraction of of the FA Cup but that has led to Spurs game being rescheduled, likely to be played at the final week of the season when Spurs have CL qualification wrapped up. If it stops Arsenal from winning the league, Spurs will no doubt do for City what United will do for us. There aren’t really many if any games you can see City slipping up in.

All 3 teams are in good form. Arsenal have won 8 of their last 9. City are unbeaten in 23 games across all competitions, and United are the only team outside the top 3 that Liverpool have dropped points against in the last 18 league games. All 3 clubs could conceivably keep those runs going until the end of the season and still end up with nothing.

If Liverpool get past the Everton game still on top, you would expect them to go on and win the league. If Arsenal are top after the NLD, you would think they have a massive chance of winning the league. City will have to work themselves into a spot where they can go top by beating Spurs.

One thing I will say, this is a new experience for all managers, not just Arteta. Every title Klopp has won, there was never really a race and Pep has never been in a 3 way title race before. City’s experience and Arsenal’s lack of was pivotal in the title race last year but this year I’m not so sure it will be.

Unfortunately, I do think Liverpool are the favorites and Klopp will get his fairytale ending, but I also believe Arsenal can win at least 8 of their last 9 games so who knows if that will be enough at the end. City probably have to win their last 9 games and even that might not be enough.

posted 2 weeks, 2 days ago

comment by Gunnerthru (U6675)
posted 7 minutes ago
Big favourites for the title is Liverpool for me. I said it a few weeks before and I stand by it. They have just the "easiest" run in.

Arsenal's run in is very difficult at home and also away from home. Dont forget we have also CL games in there as well.
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Are you kidding? City comfortably have the easiest run in.

posted 2 weeks, 2 days ago

comment by Terminator1 (U1863)
posted 1 minute ago
comment by Gunnerthru (U6675)
posted 7 minutes ago
Big favourites for the title is Liverpool for me. I said it a few weeks before and I stand by it. They have just the "easiest" run in.

Arsenal's run in is very difficult at home and also away from home. Dont forget we have also CL games in there as well.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Are you kidding? City comfortably have the easiest run in.
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Init, it’s not even close.

posted 2 weeks, 2 days ago

Lay of the drugs GT my boy

posted 2 weeks, 2 days ago

Just examined city run in. They def have the best list of remaining fixtures.

Arsenal have the hardest.

posted 2 weeks, 2 days ago

Fair enough, Arsenal do have the toughest run in. But that just means they’ve had easier fixtures previously, so they should actually have more points in the bank.

posted 2 weeks, 2 days ago

comment by Gaffer Pranky (U22336)
posted 11 minutes ago
Lay of the drugs GT my boy
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Don't take drugs. Not even smoking.

posted 2 weeks, 2 days ago

comment by Terminator1 (U1863)
posted 13 minutes ago
Fair enough, Arsenal do have the toughest run in. But that just means they’ve had easier fixtures previously, so they should actually have more points in the bank.
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We have done our job since December but we had too many bad results before that period.

posted 2 weeks, 1 day ago

City's title to lose looking at those fixtures.

posted 2 weeks, 1 day ago

comment by A hoe for Dominik Szoboszlai. A Szobwhoreszlai {Proud owner of the 5 000 000th comment} (U2720)
posted 27 minutes ago
City's title to lose looking at those fixtures.
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Yeah City been there done that with a nice run of fixtures

posted 2 weeks, 1 day ago

All this time I thought Liverpool had the easiest run in but the more you look at City’s fixtures, even though they have been far from convincing, it’s hard to see them not winning 9/9 games. The good news is if they drop any points they will probably just give up on the league and focus fully on the CL.

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