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Bets, acca's on the go

Page 246 of 265

posted on 19/8/19

comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 3 minutes ago
comment by Sir Kenneth Bates (U8238)
posted 14 hours, 51 minutes ago
comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 3 days, 5 hours ago
comment by Sir Kenneth Bates (U8238)
posted 14 hours, 27 minutes ago
Had an incredible night on Bet365
*£110@11/10 Zlatibor DNB WON
*Alaves women +2.5@1.875 CASHED IN £310 profit
*£153 Hertha Wiesbach DNB @13/8 WON
*£180 Pinzgau DNB @6/4 WON
*£98.40 Jose Bonifacio u20 LOST
*£200 Mesquita +0.5@1.80 WON
*£121 Mesquita DNB @2/1 WON
*£160 Fluminense SC DNB @11/8 WON
*£200 Stockton Town @21/20 WINNING 4-1

*****BUT*******
£100 on Rudar Pljevlja DNB @6/1, cashed out for £35 profit and they won 1-0
Also
£200 on Rudar Pljevlja or draw @12/5 cashed out for £109 profit
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You'll be getting banned again soon!
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Banned on a Sunday again. Lasted a good 2 weeks. Betting to win £2k on the Czech 5th League was never a good idea! Least they won 1-0 DNB@11/10
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Have you ever deliberated making a high roller deposit of £10,000+ so the profit seems less severe as a ratio to initial deposit?
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Or send me the money and I'll put half of your bets on for you, for half of your profit. Because I'm nice.

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 19/8/19

My brother and I used to give a 10 percent cut for accounts, no deposit risk. It was a real shame, some folk who needed the money sometimes got less than £1000 before the account was closed. The best account, someone with a bad credit rating, had enough to buy a car from their cut. Was a bit dodgy though, felt like a drug dealer having envelopes of cash and randoms visiting

posted on 19/8/19

comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 20 minutes ago
My brother and I used to give a 10 percent cut for accounts, no deposit risk. It was a real shame, some folk who needed the money sometimes got less than £1000 before the account was closed. The best account, someone with a bad credit rating, had enough to buy a car from their cut. Was a bit dodgy though, felt like a drug dealer having envelopes of cash and randoms visiting
----------------------------------------------------------------------
I'm far too generous, 50% cut and fund the accounts fully myself. It's easy money/work on the likes on Freds, Paddy and Hills due to the doubles. 365 obviously takes a lot longer. Made over £3k each in 2 weeks though and has paid for someone's holiday so can't complain. Big pressure though when they are relying on it!

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 19/8/19

comment by Sir Kenneth Bates (U8238)
posted 2 hours, 48 minutes ago
comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 20 minutes ago
My brother and I used to give a 10 percent cut for accounts, no deposit risk. It was a real shame, some folk who needed the money sometimes got less than £1000 before the account was closed. The best account, someone with a bad credit rating, had enough to buy a car from their cut. Was a bit dodgy though, felt like a drug dealer having envelopes of cash and randoms visiting
----------------------------------------------------------------------
I'm far too generous, 50% cut and fund the accounts fully myself. It's easy money/work on the likes on Freds, Paddy and Hills due to the doubles. 365 obviously takes a lot longer. Made over £3k each in 2 weeks though and has paid for someone's holiday so can't complain. Big pressure though when they are relying on it!
----------------------------------------------------------------------
So have you been able to go fully pro or is the difficulty creating accounts issue holding you back?

posted on 19/8/19

comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 24 minutes ago
comment by Sir Kenneth Bates (U8238)
posted 2 hours, 48 minutes ago
comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 20 minutes ago
My brother and I used to give a 10 percent cut for accounts, no deposit risk. It was a real shame, some folk who needed the money sometimes got less than £1000 before the account was closed. The best account, someone with a bad credit rating, had enough to buy a car from their cut. Was a bit dodgy though, felt like a drug dealer having envelopes of cash and randoms visiting
----------------------------------------------------------------------
I'm far too generous, 50% cut and fund the accounts fully myself. It's easy money/work on the likes on Freds, Paddy and Hills due to the doubles. 365 obviously takes a lot longer. Made over £3k each in 2 weeks though and has paid for someone's holiday so can't complain. Big pressure though when they are relying on it!
----------------------------------------------------------------------
So have you been able to go fully pro or is the difficulty creating accounts issue holding you back?
----------------------------------------------------------------------
I still work 35 hours per week (Monday-Friday) but have flexi time so it's not too bad. Quite like doing it on the side (probably more enjoyable) and takes the pressure off things you cannot control occurring. For example I got banned from William Hill shops last week they gave me a barring notice. Likewise if bookies ever decided to stop producing inplay stats my edge on bet365 would be gone.

posted on 19/8/19

comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 4 hours, 2 minutes ago
My brother and I used to give a 10 percent cut for accounts, no deposit risk. It was a real shame, some folk who needed the money sometimes got less than £1000 before the account was closed. The best account, someone with a bad credit rating, had enough to buy a car from their cut. Was a bit dodgy though, felt like a drug dealer having envelopes of cash and randoms visiting
----------------------------------------------------------------------


Count me in.

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 19/8/19

comment by There'sOnlyOneRed's (U1721)
posted 9 minutes ago
comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 4 hours, 2 minutes ago
My brother and I used to give a 10 percent cut for accounts, no deposit risk. It was a real shame, some folk who needed the money sometimes got less than £1000 before the account was closed. The best account, someone with a bad credit rating, had enough to buy a car from their cut. Was a bit dodgy though, felt like a drug dealer having envelopes of cash and randoms visiting
----------------------------------------------------------------------


Count me in.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Those days are gone.

Unless i crack an edge on the betting exchanges, that my ultimate goal. I'm confident i have an edge. but the P value of the edge is almost impossible to prove. There are possibly one or two bets per week, from weeks 10-24 that are flagged as bookmaker pricing errors, but the randomness of sport means, some still loose and some still win irrespective of the validity of the algorithms. To get a P value of <0.05 would require thousands of bets, which id never be able to do.

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 24/8/19

Tips today?

posted on 24/8/19

I’ve put this on. 7 game acca at around 7/2.... First ones won, just trying a different angle.


Won
Over @ 1.17
Under/Over 1.5 Goals
Norwich 1 v 2 Chelsea


Today

Sat 15:00
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22
Under/Over 1.5 Goals
Watford v West Ham



Sat 15:00
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25
Under/Over 1.5 Goals
Fulham v Nottingham Forest



Sat 15:00
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.29
Under/Over 1.5 Goals
Coventry v Gillingham



Sat 15:00
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.29
Under/Over 1.5 Goals
Sunderland v AFC Wimbledon



Sat 15:00
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33
Under/Over 1.5 Goals
Carlisle v Salford City



Sat 17:30
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.13
Under/Over 1.5 Goals
Liverpool v Arsenal

posted on 24/8/19

I’ve actually put more games than I should have. Best to just do doubles or a treble to get to evens, then build the bankroll from there....

posted on 24/8/19

It’s funny how the bookies try to sell over 2.5 goals as the value bet. I don’t know the percentages but it’s actually pretty difficult to pick that one consistently.

posted on 24/8/19

comment by Terminator1 (U1863)
posted about a minute ago
I’ve actually put more games than I should have. Best to just do doubles or a treble to get to evens, then build the bankroll from there....
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Agree, very easy to go one game too many.

posted on 24/8/19

comment by Shaun M - Ran out of usernames (U9955)
posted less than a minute ago
comment by Terminator1 (U1863)
posted about a minute ago
I’ve actually put more games than I should have. Best to just do doubles or a treble to get to evens, then build the bankroll from there....
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Agree, very easy to go one game too many.
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I was just going through this morning during my morning coffee, and not really concentrating!

posted on 24/8/19

Comment deleted by Site Moderator

posted on 24/8/19

got a 5 gamer I'm putting on for the 3pm KO's.

Manu, leeds, charlton, sunderland, Cambridge.

Will tell you the odds shortly once i put the bet n.

posted on 24/8/19

Got a 20 team to score 1 goal accy for 29/1. Had Ipswich to get 2 goals though as 1/6 is a dam site better than 1/60

posted on 24/8/19

Comment deleted by Site Moderator

posted on 24/8/19

Comment deleted by Site Moderator

posted on 24/8/19

comment by Shaun M - Ran out of usernames (U9955)
posted 8 seconds ago
Got a 20 team to score 1 goal accy for 29/1. Had Ipswich to get 2 goals though as 1/6 is a dam site better than 1/60
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Generally speaking, there’s a massive difference between the amount of teams that score once, compared to how often they get 2+. Ipswich have played 4 league games, scored 2 goals twice and only 1 goal in the other 2. So obviously, that’s 50% win rate with your bet, evens. 1/6 doesn’t seem such good value!

posted on 24/8/19

Was gunna have a few accas today but I've cleaned up a bit on this Chelsea game and it's only half time, might go for a 1.5+ acca

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 24/8/19

Leeds United and yes7/20 - 0
Match result and both teams to score
Stoke City vs Leeds United
+
Yes4/60 - 0
Both teams to score
Barnsley vs Luton Town
Stake:
£5.00
Potential Returns:
£37.50
DOUBLE


------------

Yes9/100 - 0
Both teams to score
Dundee vs Inverness CT
+
Yes20/210 - 0
Both teams to score
Grimsby Town vs Port Vale
Stake:
£5.00
Potential Returns:
£18.55

posted on 24/8/19

comment by Terminator1 (U1863)
posted 4 minutes ago
comment by Shaun M - Ran out of usernames (U9955)
posted 8 seconds ago
Got a 20 team to score 1 goal accy for 29/1. Had Ipswich to get 2 goals though as 1/6 is a dam site better than 1/60
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Generally speaking, there’s a massive difference between the amount of teams that score once, compared to how often they get 2+. Ipswich have played 4 league games, scored 2 goals twice and only 1 goal in the other 2. So obviously, that’s 50% win rate with your bet, evens. 1/6 doesn’t seem such good value!
----------------------------------------------------------------------

No but they all add up

posted on 24/8/19

comment by Shaun M - Ran out of usernames (U9955)
posted 2 minutes ago
comment by Terminator1 (U1863)
posted 4 minutes ago
comment by Shaun M - Ran out of usernames (U9955)
posted 8 seconds ago
Got a 20 team to score 1 goal accy for 29/1. Had Ipswich to get 2 goals though as 1/6 is a dam site better than 1/60
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Generally speaking, there’s a massive difference between the amount of teams that score once, compared to how often they get 2+. Ipswich have played 4 league games, scored 2 goals twice and only 1 goal in the other 2. So obviously, that’s 50% win rate with your bet, evens. 1/6 doesn’t seem such good value!
----------------------------------------------------------------------

No but they all add up
----------------------------------------------------------------------
By value, I mean risk. 1/6 for Ipswich to score 2+ goals is terrible odds when they’ve only achieved it in 50% of their games so far. Looking at the odds for their games today, they’ll probably get them. But that doesn’t mean it represents value.

Tennis is a good example of this. Look how many players with odds of 1/3 or less lose. It’s a far higher amount than it should be. The bookies set the trap by setting the odds lower than they should be, luring the customer into thinking it can’t lose because the odds are so low.....

posted on 24/8/19

Ipswich are playing Bolton though, Bolton as in average age of 19, they conceded 5 against Tranmere who are poor.

posted on 24/8/19

comment by Terminator1 (U1863)
posted 4 minutes ago
comment by Shaun M - Ran out of usernames (U9955)
posted 2 minutes ago
comment by Terminator1 (U1863)
posted 4 minutes ago
comment by Shaun M - Ran out of usernames (U9955)
posted 8 seconds ago
Got a 20 team to score 1 goal accy for 29/1. Had Ipswich to get 2 goals though as 1/6 is a dam site better than 1/60
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Generally speaking, there’s a massive difference between the amount of teams that score once, compared to how often they get 2+. Ipswich have played 4 league games, scored 2 goals twice and only 1 goal in the other 2. So obviously, that’s 50% win rate with your bet, evens. 1/6 doesn’t seem such good value!
----------------------------------------------------------------------

No but they all add up
----------------------------------------------------------------------
By value, I mean risk. 1/6 for Ipswich to score 2+ goals is terrible odds when they’ve only achieved it in 50% of their games so far. Looking at the odds for their games today, they’ll probably get them. But that doesn’t mean it represents value.

Tennis is a good example of this. Look how many players with odds of 1/3 or less lose. It’s a far higher amount than it should be. The bookies set the trap by setting the odds lower than they should be, luring the customer into thinking it can’t lose because the odds are so low.....
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That's gambling

Page 246 of 265

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